Prime Minister Al-Sudani surges ahead as provisional results show his bloc topping Iraq’s elections

BAGHDAD – Iraq’s Independent High Electoral Commission released preliminary results from the 2025 parliamentary elections during a press conference in Baghdad on Wednesday evening, confirming the Reconstruction and Development Coalition led by Prime Minister Mohammed Shiaa al-Sudani as the leading bloc.

The press conference, originally scheduled for 6 p.m., was delayed by more than an hour and began at 7:45 p.m. The commission emphasized that the results announced are preliminary and cannot yet be appealed, adding that challenges will only be accepted once the final outcomes are confirmed.

IHEC said 99.98% of general polling stations have reported results, with nationwide turnout reaching 56.11%. A total of 12,009,453 Iraqis voted out of 21,404,291 registered voters, including ballots from the general, special, and displaced-persons votes.

According to projections by 964media using the Sainte-Laguë method, Sudani’s Reconstruction and Development Coalition secured over 1.3m votes and is expected to win 46 seats — the highest number in parliament.

Former Speaker of Parliament Mohammad al-Halbousi’s Taqadum Party follows with 29 seats, matching the number projected for former Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki’s State of Law Coalition, based on 945,273 and 728,167 votes respectively.

The Kurdistan Democratic Party, led by Masoud Barzani, is expected to secure 27 or 28 seats after receiving nearly 1.1 million votes nationwide.

Qais al-Khazali’s Al-Sadiqoun Movement, which gained 685,989 votes, is projected to win 27 seats.

Other leading blocs include Ammar al-Hakim’s National State Forces Alliance (19 seats), Hadi al-Amiri’s Badr Organization (18), Bafel Talabani’s Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (18), and Muthanna al-Samarrai’s Azm Alliance (15).

These seat projections are subject to change.

Breakdowns of top three lists per governorate

In Baghdad, out of 4,359,490 registered voters, 2,125,800 cast ballots. The Reconstruction and Development Coalition received 411,026 votes, followed by Taqadum with 284,035 and State of Law with 228,103.

In Nineveh, 1,353,365 votes were cast. The KDP led with 189,120 votes, followed by Taqadum with 157,283 and Reconstruction and Development with 146,724.

In Duhok, the KDP dominated with 413,698 votes, ahead of the Kurdistan Islamic Union (72,959) and Ali Hama Saleh’s Halwest list (18,314).

In Sulaymaniyah, the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan leads with 240,899 votes, followed by Halwest with 75,330 and Shaswar Abdulwahid’s New Generation with 69,752.

In Erbil, the KDP won 369,118 votes, followed by the PUK with 97,301 and Halwest with 63,288.

In Basra, Governor Asaad al-Eidani’s Tasmim Coalition topped the list with 173,482 votes, ahead of Al-Sadiqoun (150,996) and Reconstruction and Development (125,932).

In Anbar, Taqadum led with 212,489 votes, followed by Anbar Hawyatuna (128,161) and Qimam Alliance (97,507).

In Salah al-Din, Taqadum gained 82,729 votes, followed closely by Reconstruction and Development with 80,502 and Azm Alliance with 74,722.

In Diyala, the Badr Organization received 105,225 votes, Taqadum 101,602, and Al-Siyada 77,458.

In Kirkuk, the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan led with 178,629 votes, followed by Taqadum with 107,016 and the Iraqi Turkmen Front with 66,175.

In Diwaniyah, Reconstruction and Development led with 70,673 votes, followed by State of Law (52,419) and Badr (34,954).

In Babil, Reconstruction and Development received 91,379 votes, followed by Al-Sadiqoun (79,504) and State of Law (68,538).

In Wasit, former governor Jamil al-Mayahi’s Wasit Ajmal list received 105,934 votes, followed by State of Law (58,275) and Reconstruction and Development (51,166).

In Muthanna, Reconstruction and Development received 57,315 votes, followed by State of Law (41,342) and Al-Sadiqoun (37,106).

In Najaf, Reconstruction and Development secured 56,436 votes, followed by Ammar al-Hakim’s National State Forces Alliance (45,195) and State of Law (41,143).

In Dhi Qar, Reconstruction and Development led with 80,827 votes, followed by State of Law (74,541) and Al-Sadiqoun (61,653).

In Maysan, Reconstruction and Development won 67,087 votes, Badr 40,873, and State of Law 34,682.

In Karbala, Reconstruction and Development topped the list with 78,379 votes, followed by State of Law (59,302) and Ishraqat Kanoon (42,813).